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Hongzhi Chen, Mo Lan, Zicheng Xin, Bailin Wang, Zhibin Gao, Hai Chang, Jiangshan Zhang, Shuaipeng Yuan, Xijie Yang, and Qing Liu, Knowledge model for response to ladle furnace refining time disturbance based on endpoint molten-steel temperature prediction, Int. J. Miner. Metall. Mater., (2026). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12613-026-3532-4
Hongzhi Chen, Mo Lan, Zicheng Xin, Bailin Wang, Zhibin Gao, Hai Chang, Jiangshan Zhang, Shuaipeng Yuan, Xijie Yang, and Qing Liu, Knowledge model for response to ladle furnace refining time disturbance based on endpoint molten-steel temperature prediction, Int. J. Miner. Metall. Mater., (2026). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12613-026-3532-4
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基于终点钢水温度预测的钢包精炼时间扰动应对知识模型

摘要: (中文摘要一般要求在300~600字之间,主要包括研究背景、研究目的、方法、结果和结论4个方面,可以不与英文对应。摘要要求用简短的句子,表达要准备、清楚、简洁,并注意表达的逻辑性,适当强调研究中的创新、主要论点和重要细节,但不要使用评价性语言,应尽量避免引用文献,避免使用化学结构式、化学表达式等特殊字符。)钢包炉(LF)精炼是炼钢–连铸流程中的关键工序,据统计,目标钢厂所有钢种生产均需经LF精炼处理,LF精炼终点温度决定着钢水在连铸工序是否能够实现稳定多炉连浇生产。由于LF精炼过程兼顾调整钢水温度、成分与稳定生产节奏的功能,其生产过程伴随强烈的高温物理化学反应,具有较强的不确定性。因此,为达到工艺要求的目标终点钢水温度与成分,LF精炼实际作业时间与计划作业时间之间经常会出现偏差,即发生LF精炼时间扰动,从而影响炼钢-连铸生产过程的顺行。为解决这一问题,本研究首先建立了一种基于CatBoost并结合五折交叉验证与网格搜索进行超参数优化的终点钢水温度预测模型(GS-CatBoost),用于预测LF精炼终点钢水温度。其次,构建了LF精炼时间扰动应对知识模型,用于确定针对LF精炼时间扰动的应对策略。基于预测得到的终点钢水温度,计算实际作业时间与计划作业时间之间的偏差程度,并结合LF精炼时间扰动应对知识图谱得出相应的应对措施。本研究采用某钢铁企业的历史生产数据对构建的终点钢水温度预测模型进行了训练和测试。在误差范围为±5°C时,模型的命中率达到90.99%,决定系数(R2)为0.9202,均方根误差(RMSE)为3.1231。同时,本研究针对不同程度的LF精炼时间扰动进行了案例分析并得出了对应的应对策略。此外,基于LF精炼时间扰动应对知识模型还可以进一步与调度算法集成,以满足实际生产应用需求。

 

Knowledge model for response to ladle furnace refining time disturbance based on endpoint molten-steel temperature prediction

Abstract: Ladle furnace (LF) refining is a critical process in the steelmaking–continuous casting (SCC) process, in which the end-point temperature directly determines the continuity of molten-steel casting at the caster. Owing to the strong uncertainty inherent in the LF refining process, deviations between the actual and planned operation times of LF refining (LF refining time disturbance) frequently occur when the desired endpoint temperature is targeted, which hinder the smooth operation of the SCC process. To address this issue, this study first established an endpoint molten-steel temperature prediction model based on CatBoost and optimized by a grid search (GS-CatBoost), which was used to predict the endpoint molten-steel temperature under the planned production parameters. Second, a knowledge model was constructed to determine the response to a LF refining time disturbance. Based on the predicted endpoint temperature, the degree of deviation between the actual and scheduled operation times was calculated, and the corresponding countermeasures were proposed with the support of an LF refining time disturbance response knowledge graph. Furthermore, the proposed endpoint temperature prediction model was trained and tested using historical industrial data from a domestic steel plant. The hit ratio reached 90.99% within an error range of ±5°C, with a coefficient of determination of 0.9202 and root mean squared error of 3.1231. Based on the prediction of the endpoint molten-steel temperature, the corresponding process operations and examples of response strategies for different levels of time disturbance were proposed. In addition, the countermeasures generated by the LF refining time-disturbance response knowledge model could be further integrated with scheduling algorithms for practical industrial applications.

 

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