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Xi Chen, Yanwu Dong, Donghai Zhang, Zhouhua Jiang, Yuxiao Liu, Weiyao Liang, and Mingxu Pan, A framework based on experimental-and-auxiliary data fusion and robust multi-task neural networks for the prediction of melting points in electroslag systems, Int. J. Miner. Metall. Mater., (2026). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12613-025-3237-0
Xi Chen, Yanwu Dong, Donghai Zhang, Zhouhua Jiang, Yuxiao Liu, Weiyao Liang, and Mingxu Pan, A framework based on experimental-and-auxiliary data fusion and robust multi-task neural networks for the prediction of melting points in electroslag systems, Int. J. Miner. Metall. Mater., (2026). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12613-025-3237-0
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基于多源数据融合及鲁棒多任务神经网络的电渣重熔渣系熔点预测框架

摘要: 电渣重熔过程中,渣系熔点直接影响熔渣导电、加热、保护和金属液净化过程,是温度制度设计与工艺稳定控制的重要参数。受公开实验数据稀缺、多组元渣系成分空间复杂以及传统经验模型适用范围有限等因素影响,熔点的高精度预测仍较困难。本文面向典型含氟五元电渣重熔渣系,构建了融合实验熔点、黏度拐点推断标签和经验公式生成标签的多源数据增强策略,并建立包含共享特征提取层和任务专属输出头的多任务神经网络模型。首先基于文献和专利整理黏度与熔点数据库,利用黏度预测模型生成黏度–温度曲线,通过梯度阈值识别首次突变点作为熔点近似值;同时在经验公式适用范围内生成辅助样本。随后以实验熔点预测为主任务,以黏度推断数据和经验公式数据为辅助任务,设计加权复合损失函数实现联合训练。结果表明,所提出模型在测试集上的MSE为73.56、MAE为4.89 K、MAPE为0.36%,明显优于传统回归模型、单任务神经网络及直接数据扩展方法。消融分析显示,黏度拐点辅助任务能够提供更接近物理过程的监督信息,合理的任务权重可进一步提升模型稳定性。外部实验样本验证表明,该框架具有较好的泛化能力,可为复杂电渣重熔渣系熔点预测、工艺温度控制和渣系智能设计提供数据驱动方法。

 

A framework based on experimental-and-auxiliary data fusion and robust multi-task neural networks for the prediction of melting points in electroslag systems

Abstract: The melting point of slag plays a pivotal role in determining the process stability and product quality during electroslag remelting (ESR). However, accurate prediction remains challenging due to the scarcity of experimental data, the compositional complexity of slag systems, and the limited accuracy of conventional empirical models. In this study, a robust multi-task neural network framework based on experimental-and-auxiliary data fusion is developed to predict the melting points of ESR slags. The framework combines one experimental melting-point source dataset with two auxiliary augmented datasets: (i) experimentally measured melting points, (ii) melting-point estimates derived from viscosity inflection points using the viscosity prediction model, and (iii) melting-point values generated from empirical correlations. A multi-task learning architecture is constructed, comprising one primary task (experimental data) and two auxiliary tasks (augmented datasets), enabling effective knowledge transfer and joint optimization through a custom-designed loss function and adaptive task-weighting scheme. Error analysis results demonstrate that the proposed method consistently outperforms traditional machine learning models and single-task neural networks across multiple evaluation metrics, including mean squared error (MSE), mean absolute error (MAE), and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE). In addition, the model exhibits excellent robustness and physical consistency, providing a promising solution for intelligent slag system design and process optimization in ESR operations.

 

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